are polar bears going extinct 2020

Polar bears are one of the few creatures who can take advantage of Arctic sea ice, but their numbers are not in danger unless there is much-more-than-expected loss of sea ice in winter months. Thanks to Dr. Crockford. It is so easy to use the polar bears as mascot for GCCCP (Global Communist Climate Change Propaganda, called CCCP between 1922 and 1991), because the average people don’t see them, can’t count them and don’t get eaten by them. However, as the ice sheets continue to melt and give in, polar bears are forced to go long distances and stay on the shore, thus struggling to catch prey and feed their cubs. It is a small price to pay to consider the polar bears extinct even if they are not if it means it will galvanize people into grand useless gestures designed to prevent global catastrophe due to temperature increase due to the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. This post is for the people who search the internet thinking that polar bears really are going extinct. Jan 25, 2019’. Doi: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v1 Open access. The differences as time progresses proves we have lived during the adjustocene. Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. The graph below was constructed by NASA sea ice expert Walt Meier and published by the US National Snow and Ice Data Center in early October 2019. Scientists are sounding the alarm as wildlife lovers face one of their biggest fears: polar bears going extinct. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2015: e.T22823A14871490. Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. There is not one polar bear remaining on the Great Barrier Reef. Updated: 14 Sep 2020, 10:39; Niamh Cavanagh; Invalid Date, SIR DAVID Attenborough has warned that polar bears could go extinct and ANOTHER major pandemic could hit if … 2019b. ‘I heard from the ship that two bears were walking directly towards us. Good of you to post this, Charles Rotter. Why are polar bears going extinct? Mon 20 Jul 2020 11.00 EDT. Available from http://www.iucnredlist.org/details/22823/0 [accessed Nov. 28, 2015]. 2015. Posted on February 24, 2020 | Comments Off on Why are polar bears going extinct? Polar bears will go extinct by 2100 because of climate change, study says Studies have long shown that declining sea ice will lead to a decline in polar bears… Claims polar bear cannibalism on the rise in Russian Arctic not supported by facts, The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened, out-of-date estimates and low-balled guesses, http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/12/12/20160556, http://www.iucnredlist.org/details/22823/0. ), Top Ten US States: Renewable Electricity Generation, Massachusetts AG Tells Bloomberg Group of Plan to Use its Attorneys to Enforce Paris Climate Treaty, Aussie State Tasmania Declares itself 100% Renewable Energy, CNN: "most countries are still choosing fossil fuels over clean energy", UN Paris Agreement Architect Blasts Australia’s “Lack of Integrity” on Climate Action, CNN: “most countries are still choosing fossil fuels over clean energy”, Mitochondrial Changes Key to Health Problems in Space, New Paleoclimatology Finding Shows Earth’s Climate Was Typically Warmer than Today, We’re Saved! Most of the successful growth in polar bear populations can be attributed to my successful Shave The Bears Campaign. Available from http://www.iucnredlist.org/details/22823/0 [accessed Nov. 28, 2015]. The 86 multiplier is the Global Warming Potential GWP that can be found in all five IPCC reports although over time the GWP increases along with the increase in the concentration of atmospheric CO2. MSM will never dare to critic them even for raping their females and killing then eating their children. Parkinson and Cavalieri; it is just inconvenient, like that from IPCC’s 2nd Assessment Report given by Steve Case above. US Geological Survey. I hate making errors, it’s the first three IPCC reports not two that go back to 1973. However, summer sea ice has been at ‘mid-century-like’ levels since 2007 (with year to year variation, see NOAA ice chart below) yet polar bear numbers have increased since 2005. Polar bears are well-distributed across their available habitat and population numbers are high (officially 22,000-31,000 at 2015 but likely closer to 26,000-58,000 at 2018): these are features of a healthy, thriving species. 2015). You are welcome. – Fred Pearce The Climate Files: Ursus maritimus. In the past, they were blissfully unaware that warmer places existed, and that their lot in life was as it always had been. Since 2015, bears on Western Hudson Bay … Only? Researchers found that even if methane is released from these natural stores in response to warming, very little reaches the atmosphere; therefore, anthropogenic emissions should be more concerning than these natural feedbacks. The molecular weight of methane is 16 and the weight of CO2 is 44. Why are polar bears going extinct? In AR 5 WG 1 (2013) the topic of polar bears is covered at 28.2 in some dozen paragraphs. Global Warming Policy Foundation Report 32, London. TTY Said: The other thing about ice free arctic summers is that they indicate that the global temperature has been warmer than now and there’s no evidence of ‘tipping points’. Your second statement is the real point. Maybe the most appropriate question to ask is whether sea ice was at a relative maximum in 1979 compared to the 40 or so years prior to that initial satellite measurement being made? Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. . Shares. These are interesting time to live in, the old Chinese curse finally caught up with us. Great work by Dr Susan Crockford, “2. In Arctic the temperature increases much more than one degree. The essential claim is that there is potential for large reductions in the global polar bear population if sea ice loss continues which is FORECAST by climate models and other studies. As Crockford observes, “Examine the evidence and you will see that claims of polar bears going extinct are simply not true. https://peerj.com/preprints/2737/. By Dr. Susan Crockford – Re-Blogged From WUWT. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. UPHEAVAL – my new ice tsunami novel – is now available! However, summer sea ice has been at ‘mid-century-like’ levels since 2007 (with year to year variation, see NOAA ice chart below) yet polar bear numbers have increased since 2005. pdf here. 2019. Before that, I used the name Karl J. Hansen in order to stay employed. Sadly, due to less sea ice there are now only about 39,000 left………….. One thing is corrtect, the difference between summer low and winter high seaice extend seems to increase. Scientists are blaming the climate crisis and say it could happen by 2100. The “real world” experience grows out of MSM, not in the physical world. within the last 10,000 years. The ‘answer’ provided is not an actual answer but a statement from WWF, an multi-national organization financially invested in promoting the idea that polar bears are suffering due to declining sea ice: it’s paid Google advertising meant to look like answers and facts: ‘Because of ongoing and potential loss of their sea ice habitat resulting from climate change, polar bears were listed as a threatened species in the US under the Endangered Species Act in May 2008. Regehr, E.V., Laidre, K.L, Akçakaya, H.R., Amstrup, S.C., Atwood, T.C., Lunn, N.J., Obbard, M., Stern, H., Thiemann, G.W., & Wiig, Ø. Available in paperback and ebook formats. The graph below is from my book and shows the growth of global polar bear numbers since the 1960s. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! ... we are still going to see some subpopulations go extinct before the end of the century,” Molnár said. in 2007, it was predicted that polar bear numbers would plummet when summer sea ice declined to 42% of 1979 levels. PS: just got a flayer for a climate-change propaganda event where staff will be apparently dressed up as white bears. Düsseldorf (rpo). The anticipated disaster did not occur but many people still believe it did because the media and some researchers still give that impression. pdf here. Satellite data from the early 70’s is well documented, e.g. “, Joseph Zorzin … 4:08 am Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. In 2007, the online climate news outlet Grist predicted that polar bears would soon be extinct. So if methane increases by 500 parts per billion by 2100 an equal mass of CO2 would be (15/44)x500=182 ppb or .182 ppm. If the polar bears’ main source of food is seals and walruses when they come ashore in spring to reproduce, sea ice must recede from the shore to enable the seals to breathe as they swim to their breeding grounds–a colder than normal spring would mean the sea ice would recede later, and the seals would arrive later, and polar bears would have to fast for a longer time, which would be detrimental to them. But the Red List figure includes out-of-date estimates and low-balled guesses for many of the 19 subpopulations and my book (Crockford 2019) explains why this 2015 estimate sanctioned by the IUCN was almost certainly too low. Note the statement misleadingly says ‘sea ice’ when it really means ‘summer sea ice’ – the predictions of potential polar bear population decline were based exclusively on summer ice (Amstrup et al. Posted on July 25, 2020 | . Examine the evidence and you will see that claims of polar bears going extinct are simply not true. There is no mention of polar bears in Summary for Policy Makers 2013. & Douglas, D.C. 2007. I’d be inclined to think all the excess warming might result in growing deserts, and failing plant life in the tropics, but that never gets mentioned, for some reason. 2016. At current rates this will take about 400 years. 1979 becomes a good date because it was the start of the modern Satellite era for temperatures and other measurements. https://peerj.com/preprints/2737/. Examine the evidence and you will see that claims of polar bears going extinct are simply not true. Has nothing to do with climate. 2007; Crockford 2017, 2019). Available in paperback and ebook formats. This is the kind of problem Dr. Mann tried to obliterate with his, admitted by him, fraudulent hockey stick. The article is about how polar bears etc. http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php. 2019b. Forecasting the rangewide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century. But the children are already crying. Jan 25, 2019’. If you have been told that, you have misunderstood or have been misinformed. Polar bears are well-distributed across their available habitat and… “Old carbon reservoirs unlikely to cause massive greenhouse gas release, study finds” : https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/02/200220141710.htm It seems that the pigs from George Orwell’s Animal Farm successfully rewrote the history. So far, the response of polar bears to recent ice loss suggests that they will continue to thrive with even less summer ice than there has been in recent years as long as ice in winter (December-March) and spring (April-June) remains reasonably abundant, as has been the case to date. Posted on February 24, 2020 |. To see the continuing strained orthodox position on polar bears, read the extraordinary paper, Harvey et al 2018 which claims there is “overwhelming evidence” that polar bears will be ultimately adversely affected. Matthew: Actually Canada does still allow a hunt for polar bears. Forecasting the rangewide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century. 2007). If you have been told that, you have misunderstood or have been misinformed. 2015. Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. 2017. Reposted from Dr. Susan Crockford’s Polar Bear Science, Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. Polar bears will go extinct if trophy hunting doesn’t stop, expert warns January 30, 2020 Polar Bears 0 A conservation expert has warned that polar bears will become extinct if … March 4, 2020. 2. Conservation status of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) in relation to projected sea-ice declines. Research published in July 2020 suggested polar bears may be wiped out by the end of the 21st century. Reposted from Polar Bear Science. There is a person going under the name of Griff on “Mail on Line”. 2016; Wiig et al. This was a practical response to global warming. Some material from contributors may contain additional copyrights of their respective company or organization. Much like my “Feed the Bears” charity buying one way tickets and a large raw steak necklace for progressives who believe polar bears are extinct….. BTW, in the last polarbear thread someone asked, what happend to the 2012 Arctic temperatures. Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. The Battle for the Truth about Global Warming, “…invaluable” – Steven F. Hayward, The Weekly Standard, “…changed the world and is one of the most influential resources on global warming. If you have been told that, you have misunderstood or have been misinformed. 2015). Polar bears rely on the ice to hunt for their main prey, seals. Reston, VA. Pdf here, Crockford, S.J. If we tell them now the polar bears are not going extinct, this will be cruel and unsettling for them. The usual meme is, “Pound for pound, methane traps 86 times more heat than CO2.” Atmospheric components are usually expressed as volume not mass or pounds. Biology Letters 12: 20160556. http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/12/12/20160556. The slow but steady melting of the ice can be traced on 6,000 maps. The prediction of imminent extinction of the polar bear was an utter failure, as I’ve shown in this scientific paper (Crockford 2017) and my most recent book, The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened. Polar bears are well-distributed across their available habitat and population numbers are high (officially 22,000-31,000 at 2015 but likely closer to 26,000-58,000 at 2018): these are features of a healthy, thriving species. The most recent information available is summarized in the upcoming State of the Polar Bear Report 2019, to be released 27 February 2020 but see also the 2018 report (Crockford 2019b). But tell me what happened to Mitchell Taylor? Crockford, S.J. With higher temperatures and less sea ice, polar bears will not be able to get enough food and provide for their children. WWF is a dangerous, anti-humanity, poverty promoting, misery manufacturing hard-left cabal masquerading as a charity. Why is 1979 the standard for the “Sea has declined since…” meme? The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2015: e.T22823A14871490. It shows clearly that summer sea ice (measured as the average for September) has not declined further since 2007 but has had a flat trend. 2019. The first two IPCC reports had sea ice data back to 1973: IPCC’s Second Assessment Report Page 150 Paragraph 3.2.5.3 Sea Ice extent and mass Figure 3.8: Sea ice extent anomalies relative to 1973-1994 for (a) the Northern Hemisphere and (b) the Southern Hemisphere. 1. Crockford, S.J. Further, polar bears are likely to experience reproductive failure by 2040, reducing the number of offspring needed for population maintenance. The anticipated disaster did not occur but many people still believe it did because the media and some researchers still give that impression. According to Ms. Crockford’s last graph, from 1994 through 2014 the polar bear population was roughly stable at about 22,000 to 25,000 bears, while the minimum September sea ice was decreasing. Why do people keep buying into this bullshit? Most of the world’s bears live in Canada and their biologists don’t think they are endangered. But would this methane actually reach the atmosphere? For permission, contact us. Wiig, Ø., Amstrup, S., Atwood, T., Laidre, K., Lunn, N., Obbard, M., et al. By 2018 or so, the population suddenly increases to 39,000 bears, or about a 60% increase, while the minimum September sea ice continued to decrease, albeit more slowly. The confluence of these two facts give rise to a lot of “unprecendented” talk. Tags: Canada's Arctic Archipelago climate change journal Nature Climate Change Nature Climate Change polar bears polar bears extinct species going extinct First Published: July 21, 2020, 09:12 IST Next Story Note the statement misleadingly says ‘sea ice’ when it really means ‘summer sea ice’ – the predictions of potential polar bear population decline were based exclusively on summer ice (Amstrup et al. The final estimate 26,000-58,000 or 39,000 average) is my plausible and scientifically defensible ‘best guess’ based on extrapolation of recent survey results, summarized here and explained in detail in my book. The polar bears did not go extinct when the arctic was free of summer sea ice. A new study suggests that polar bears could face extinction as climate change drives sea ice loss, according to a new study published Monday in … Amstrup, S.C., Marcot, B.G. Crockford, S.J. Watch polar bear habitat reform in the Canadian Arctic: “last 10 days” Canadian Ice Service animation (works anytime). 3. Polar Bears deserve full respect and support because of the White Privilege they inherently poses. Ref. Why don’t we see polar bears, or at least some enlightened individual animal, move to Prince of Whales Island or some other warmer place? Not sure how many bears were shaved but none of the environmentalists returned resulting in better decision making. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). Most of the worlds coral reefs disappear. As I said above, ‘Why are polar bears going extinct?’ contains a false premise – there is no need to ask ‘why’, when the ‘polar bears [are] going extinct’ part is not true. The Arctic ice is only beginning to grow from much less. P olar bears are likely to go extinct before the end of the 21 st century. Griff does not allow any bits of inconvenient data to interfere with his preconceived conceptions. Polar Bears are NOT going extinct because we stopped shooting them. While I’m at it, here’s a comparison of sea ice extent over the five IPCC reports: 2007; Crockford 2017, 2019). I found an article titled “Video To Educate Danish School Children Into Climate Army” with the following fragment: Polar bears survived significantly warmer periods. However, Crockford points out that 2020 is not an anomaly when it comes to polar bears bucking the 50 percent sea ice concentration threshold. According to MODTRAN a doubling of CH4 from 1.7 to 3.4 ppm will cause a temperature rise of 0.2 degrees given a US 1976 Standard Atmosphere Profile. Doi: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v1 Open access. Reston, VA. Pdf here, Crockford, S.J. Unfortunately, an SQL error occured while testing the link. I’ve often said, the areas “most affected” must be far from civilization, thus difficult to go see for yourself. The graph below was constructed by NASA sea ice expert Walt Meier and published by the US National Snow and Ice Data Center in early October 2019. This is what biologists and the International Union for the Conservation of Nature says about the iconic creatures of the Arctic. ... “Polar bears are going extinct because manmade global warming robs them of the sea-ice habitat they depend on to hunt for food!” Or some such verbiage. If you have been told that, you have misunderstood or have been misinformed. November 19, 2020. There are certainly numerous papers since 2013 that directly contradict the orthodox view besides Susan Crockford’s book “ The Polar Bear Catastrophe that never happened”. Well, it’s about time the crybabies on … One of Google’s top ‘suggestion’ when I search for the term ‘polar bear’ is a list of questions that people supposedly ask the most (‘People also ask’), including ‘Why are polar bears going extinct?’. The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened. Critically, there are no peer reviewed papers that contest the claim of potential loss in numbers of some 30% over the next decades. (Miriam O’Brien aka slandering “Sou” from Hotwhopper, that means you.). Patrick, not sure if you refer to my comment above, but I can assure you I am not Griff & Douglas, D.C. 2007. We recruited environmentalists to shave polar bears with Barbisol and Bic razors. Science (the data) seems to say otherwise. The Arctic ice has been on the retreat for at least 150 years. January 22, 2020 By E. Calvin Beisner Leave a Comment. Why would they do so now even if the arctic does go ice free in the summer. The fact is there is more ice in summers now than for most of the past 10,000 years. I told the scientists to pack up. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). So if CO2 increases from 400 ppm to 400.182 ppm how much will that run up global temperature and then multiply that answer by 86. Biology Letters 12: 20160556. http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/12/12/20160556. This site has been suspended for 8 years, but I decided to open it again here in 2020 for the sake of Climate Change history. ‘Why are polar bears going extinct?’ contains a false premise – there is no need to ask ‘why’ when the ‘polar bears [are] going extinct’ part is not true.1. Examine the evidence and you will see that claims of polar bears going extinct are simply not true. Fate of these big fat bullies is only a minor irritation among many others including the impeding for ever 12 years away doomsday, corona virus, Brexit, grumpy Greta, Putin vetting candidates for the USA’s presidency and god knows what else. Reposted from Dr. Susan Crockford’s Polar Bear Science. Another question Google offers is: ‘How many polar bears are left?’ Answer [my bold]: ‘In fact, the World Wide Fund for Nature (or WWF) estimates that there are only 22,000 to 31,000 polar bears left in the world. In 1984, the polar bear population was estimated at 25,000. US Geological Survey. In fact, though polar bears were placed under the protection of the Endangered Species Act in 2008 over concerns that its Arctic hunting grounds were being reduced by a warming climate, the polar bear population has been stable for the last three decades. The 1973-1979 trend in Figure 2.14 in their TAR report name Karl J. Hansen in order to employed. Since the 1960s to DMI was answered sometimes later are just seeing an oscillation about a with. Canada and their biologists don ’ t think they are endangered directly towards us not go extinct by end... Of summer sea ice declined to 42 % of the environmentalists returned in... Now than for most of the Arctic was free of sea level it... 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